Exit Polls and Weirdness
Time for everyone to put on their tinfoil hat:
"Without getting into all the state-by-state details -- I'll let Prof. Freeman tend to the numbers -- what happened last Tuesday, where a wide variety of extremely accurate exit polls suddenly turned out to be at the extremes or even beyond their margin of error, was exceedingly unlikely -- even if the benefits of these errors had been evenly distributed.
But they weren't evenly distributed. They favored Bush. Over and over and over. That's the coin flipping. And flipping. And still coming up heads. Heads in Florida. Heads in Ohio. Heads in a bunch of other swing states (even while the exit polls remained relatively accurate elsewhere). Almost everywhere the election was close, the coin just kept coming up heads.
How bad was it?
According to Dr. Freeman's analysis... 1 in 250,000,000.
One in a quarter of a billion.
In simpler terms, that 50-50 coin flip just came up "heads" almost thirty times in a row."
from Bob Harris
"Without getting into all the state-by-state details -- I'll let Prof. Freeman tend to the numbers -- what happened last Tuesday, where a wide variety of extremely accurate exit polls suddenly turned out to be at the extremes or even beyond their margin of error, was exceedingly unlikely -- even if the benefits of these errors had been evenly distributed.
But they weren't evenly distributed. They favored Bush. Over and over and over. That's the coin flipping. And flipping. And still coming up heads. Heads in Florida. Heads in Ohio. Heads in a bunch of other swing states (even while the exit polls remained relatively accurate elsewhere). Almost everywhere the election was close, the coin just kept coming up heads.
How bad was it?
According to Dr. Freeman's analysis... 1 in 250,000,000.
One in a quarter of a billion.
In simpler terms, that 50-50 coin flip just came up "heads" almost thirty times in a row."
from Bob Harris
posted by Landon at 1:43 PM
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